I've been playing with the match stats showing and I've seen surprising things, which I would like to run by the fm-base community. I'm just watching the 3-d match engine by eye, and seeing when the numbers increment.
1. Clear cut and half-chances must be put on target for them to count. Hitting the woodwork isn't a chance (generally). Further, they cannot be blocked by a defender, unless the defender is rapidly moving into the path of the ball while/somewhat after the ball is shot. If they are hit off target, they rarely count toward those numbers.
2. Shots, even at point blank range, which require the player to move very quickly to kick or head the ball to score are often not counted as clear cut or half chances.
3. A shot is clear cut if the player is close to goal, has only the keeper to beat, and (by point 2 above) has a moment on the ball. May be counted as clear cut even if the keeper is right on top of the player, meaning virtually no realistic chance of scoring.
4. A shot is a "half chance" if the player is close to goal, has a view of the net, partially obscured by one defender, and a moment on the ball.
4.5 The "view of goal" referenced here could be straight at the keeper. So there is a window, not tiny, to the goal either free of defenders (big gap) or partly obscured, but it could be an empty net, or straight into waiting arms of the keeper. Both count.
5. Some half chances are far better then clear cut chances, due to where the keeper is. On average, clear cut chances are better.
6. Long shots require the player to be not close to goal, have a moment on the ball, and a view of the goal unobscured, or partly obscured by one defender. The shooter does not have to put the ball on target for this to count as a long shot. This leads to higher numbers of long shots then chances.
7. Some long shots seem to me to be much better then half chances, but on average they are worse. In many cases, much worse.
8. A surprising number of my goals are not chances, or long shots, or deflected. Its just an on target shot.
9. An off target shot, deflected in by a defender, will give a goal without a shot on target (in other words: you can score without putting a shot on target). This is pretty rare.
10. In summary, I would say I thought going in that most clear cut chances were scored, and about half the half chances. I would divide both of those in half, at least. I'm accumulating stats on this now (just don't have enough events). I'm guessing I score on maybe 40% of my clear cut chances, and maybe 25% of my half chances. I don't score from many long shots, maybe 10%? In any case, they are way closer together then I thought before I examined them carefully.
1. Clear cut and half-chances must be put on target for them to count. Hitting the woodwork isn't a chance (generally). Further, they cannot be blocked by a defender, unless the defender is rapidly moving into the path of the ball while/somewhat after the ball is shot. If they are hit off target, they rarely count toward those numbers.
2. Shots, even at point blank range, which require the player to move very quickly to kick or head the ball to score are often not counted as clear cut or half chances.
3. A shot is clear cut if the player is close to goal, has only the keeper to beat, and (by point 2 above) has a moment on the ball. May be counted as clear cut even if the keeper is right on top of the player, meaning virtually no realistic chance of scoring.
4. A shot is a "half chance" if the player is close to goal, has a view of the net, partially obscured by one defender, and a moment on the ball.
4.5 The "view of goal" referenced here could be straight at the keeper. So there is a window, not tiny, to the goal either free of defenders (big gap) or partly obscured, but it could be an empty net, or straight into waiting arms of the keeper. Both count.
5. Some half chances are far better then clear cut chances, due to where the keeper is. On average, clear cut chances are better.
6. Long shots require the player to be not close to goal, have a moment on the ball, and a view of the goal unobscured, or partly obscured by one defender. The shooter does not have to put the ball on target for this to count as a long shot. This leads to higher numbers of long shots then chances.
7. Some long shots seem to me to be much better then half chances, but on average they are worse. In many cases, much worse.
8. A surprising number of my goals are not chances, or long shots, or deflected. Its just an on target shot.
9. An off target shot, deflected in by a defender, will give a goal without a shot on target (in other words: you can score without putting a shot on target). This is pretty rare.
10. In summary, I would say I thought going in that most clear cut chances were scored, and about half the half chances. I would divide both of those in half, at least. I'm accumulating stats on this now (just don't have enough events). I'm guessing I score on maybe 40% of my clear cut chances, and maybe 25% of my half chances. I don't score from many long shots, maybe 10%? In any case, they are way closer together then I thought before I examined them carefully.
