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PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL – Not for distribution
Squad Report – 2014/15
(as at 3 September 2014)
Prepared by Rob York – Manager, Bebgies-Traynor Group
Executive Summary
Chelsea FC have been besieged by financial troubles in recent times. As a result the club was placed in the hands of administrators Bebgies Traynor to engineer a sale. Part of the preparation process was arranging the sale of a significant number of first team regulars. This report outlines the remaining squad player’s positions, strengths and weaknesses using a combination of anecdotal and empirical data.
The Club in still in a competitive position thanks to its strengths in experience, leadership and physicality. As future sales occur this will diminish these strengths, however this may be offset by the players currently on loan returning.
Table of Contents
1.0 - Squad Personality Snapshot 1.1 -Personality Strengths & Culture
1.2 -Leadership
2.0 - 1stTeam
3.0 - Squad Technical Ability Snapshot
4.0 - Squad Mental Ability Snapshot
5.0 - Squad Physical Ability Snapshot
6.0 - Season To-Date Performances
7.0 - What It Means Moving Forward
8.0 - Summary
9.0 - Disclaimers
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1.0 - Squad Personality Snapshot
Jody Morris, Rob York and Tore Andre Flo assigned a personality type to each player based on the following list of types observed in all players throughout our careers.
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1. Model Citizen[/TD]
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11. Driven[/TD]
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21. Temperamental[/TD]
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31. Fairly Loyal[/TD]
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2. Perfectionist[/TD]
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12. Determined[/TD]
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22. Unambitious[/TD]
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32. Honest[/TD]
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3. Resolute[/TD]
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13. Fairly Determined[/TD]
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23. Easily Discouraged[/TD]
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33. Sporting[/TD]
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[TR]
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4. Model Professional[/TD]
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14. Charismatic Leader[/TD]
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24. Low Determination[/TD]
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34. Fairly Sporting[/TD]
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5. Professional[/TD]
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15. Born Leader[/TD]
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25. Spineless[/TD]
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35. Unsporting[/TD]
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[TR]
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6. Fairly Professional[/TD]
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16. Leader[/TD]
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26. Low Self-Belief[/TD]
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36. Realist[/TD]
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7. Spirited[/TD]
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17. Iron Willed[/TD]
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27. Jovial[/TD]
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37. Balanced[/TD]
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8. Very Ambitious[/TD]
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18. Resilient[/TD]
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28. Light Hearted[/TD]
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[TR]
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9. Ambitious[/TD]
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19. Slack[/TD]
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29. Devoted/Very Loyal[/TD]
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[TR]
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10. Fairly Ambitious[/TD]
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20. Casual[/TD]
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30. Loyal[/TD]
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Across the squad the highest represented Personality types are:
Fairly Determined (4)
Willian, Felipe Luis, Loic Remy and Kurt Zouma
Fairly Professional (4)
Isiah Brown, Tomas Kalas, Alex Kiwomya and Ruben Loftus-Cheek
Balanced (4)
Jamal Blackman, Lewis Baker, Jay Dasilva and Nathan Ake
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1.1 - Personality Strengths & Culture
Across the board the squad is considered to have a ‘Highly Professional’personality. This aligns with what has been observed above where the most highly represented groups come from the determined/professional categories.
The results bode well for the future also. Within the ‘Fairly Professional’ group there are 4 young players who look like they will form the nucleus of the first team squad for a significant time to come.
View attachment 238273The only player who received a ‘negative’ type personality ranking was Charly Musonda. Considered ‘Jovial’ he will be partnered with some senior players in a mentoring relationship in an effort to show him what is required to make the grade at Premiership level.
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1.2 - Guidance
The one area that this Chelsea squad is blessed with is veteran guidance. In addition to assigning the personality types above Players were also assigned a rating between 1 and 20 for a number of categories across areas covering the physical, mental and technical aspects of football.
The coaches are of the opinion that the ratings given for leadership and determination are the most applicable when considering the effect of the veteran guidance. The following players have be assigned ratings of greater than 15 for either Leadership or Guidance or both.
There are also young players who received reasonably high scores for leadership (12+) including Mitchell Beeney, Nathan Ake, Lewis Baker and Kasey Palmer who all, with the right guidance, could prove to fill the leadership gap as club stalwarts Terry, Drogba and Ivanovic leave.
2.0 – First Team
Below is the first choice team used over the first three matches of the 2014/15 season.
Goalkeeper– Petr Cech
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The evergreen Czech Republic international was retained due to a lack of experience behind him. Given he has retained a market value of 18.25 million pounds he will be one of many players who will likely be transfer listed in January.
Left Back – Felipe Luis
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Whilst the Brazilian left back has generally performed well his attitude at times has been disappointing. He is expected to be sold in the January window. Nathan Ake is the most likely candidate to replace him should that happen
Central Defender (Left) – John Terry
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Club captain Terry has agreed a reduced contract that will ensure he can see out his career with the club. Whilst he is here he will provide invaluable leadership to our younger players.
Central Defender (right) – Kurt Zouma
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Was not transfer listed during this window as, at the time, his value was less than 10 million pounds and wage below 40,000 per week. Given his increase in value will only likely continue though he will almost certainly find himself on the transfer list in one of the next two transfer windows. If Zouma is sold then Andreas Christensen or Tomas Kalas are the likely replacements.
Right Back – Branislav Ivanovic
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The Serb is an integral part of the first team squad and will continue to be so for the foreseeable future.
Defensive Midfield – John Obi Mikel
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Mikel finds himself on the transfer list and we also expect that he will be sold prior to the end of the season. Should that happen then Ruben Loftus-Cheek will come into this position.
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Central Midfield (left) – Lewis Baker
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The current England Under-19 captain is now an established first team player. It is expected that he will continue to improve and be an integral part of the team moving forward.
Central Midfield (right) – Charly Musonda
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Belgian starlet Musonda has been revelation this season. It was initially envisaged that he would split time with Jeremie Boga but due to his good performances he has started every match. Improvement has already been observed and is expected to continue.
Left Winger – Willian
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The Brazilian is one of our highest valued remaining resources. He will be sold before the season is finished. If he is, Jeremie Boga will come into the 1stteam.
Right Winger – Juan Cuardrado
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As above the Colombian is a high value asset who will be sold in one of the next two transfer windows. Either Alex Kiwomya or one of our young strikers who can also play wing in Brown or Solanke would come in if he is sold.
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Striker– Loic Remy
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The final player expected to be sold in one of the upcoming windows. The French striker would be replaced by Didier Drogba if that happens.
3.0 – Squad Technical Ability Snapshot
Players were put through a variety of skill drills and in game footage was reviewed to arrive at the rankings given to each player for the individual skill categories.
Goalkeepers
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Whilst it is clear that Petr Cech has the best technical skills of all our Goalkeepers the drop off to Beeney and Blackman isn’t that far at all in terms of skill. It is in the other areas though that the other keepers need to improve.
Defenders
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The above graph shows that, at a technical level, Felipe Luis is the best of our fullbacks. Ivanovic is the best when it comes to the ‘defensive’ technical stats of heading, marking and tackling. Nathan Ake is a clear 3rdchoice whilst 16 year old Jay Dasilva unsurprisingly has a lot of work to do in order to be considered Premiership quality.
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Neither Kalas nor Christensen are considered accomplished headers of the ball at this stage of their career however both provide quality cover should either or Terry and Zouma but injured or sold.
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Midfielders
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Surprising outcome here as the central midfield group are quite similar in terms of technical skill. Obi Mikel is the outstanding player in terms of tackling,passing and marking however showing that when he leaves we will belacking in those areas.
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With the Wingers there are 3 groups. Willian and Cuadrado are the 2 most technically gifted. Right behind them is Jeremie Boga and then there is Kiwomya and Palmer on a different level.
Forwards
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Again two obvious groups here – Drogba and Remy are the two most technically gifted and then there is a drop off to Solanke and Brown. Thankfully it appears that only one of Drogba and Remy will be departing.
4.0 - Squad Mental Ability Snapshot
As mentioned above –mental attributes were arrived at following a subjective assessment by the coaching team.
Goalkeepers
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The differences between the keepers are shown in full force here. Petr Cech, with his years of experience, shows that there would be significant drop off if/when he is sold.
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Defenders
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Again the discrepancy between the 1stteam players and reserves is amplified with the fullbacks. Ake though is much closer to being at the level required than Dasilva.
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With the central defensive group Terry is obviously the most mentally strong central defender. Kalas and Zouma are a rung below but both are at, or almost at, Premier League level. Christensen is still a few years away from being mentally at the level required.
Midfielders
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Again with the Central Midfield group the veteran presence is obvious with Mikel’s mental stats being head and shoulders above the others. Colkett’s impressive determination though may see him turn out to be the best player in the group.
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With the Wingers group again Boga holds his own and shows that he is a viable backup option to Cuadrado and Willian.
Strikers
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Again nothing unexpected with the striking group. Drogba is the most mentally gifted of thegroup and then Remy. Solanke and Brown will battle it out to be the main back up when Remy moves on.
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5.0 - Squad Physical Ability Snapshot
Physical attribute were arrived at by putting the players through a set of plyometric exercises and recording their results.
Goalkeepers
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No surprises that Petr Cech is again the outstanding player here. Despite his advanced years the Czech number 1 ranked highest in all stats with the exception of pace and acceleration.
Defenders
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Jay Dasilva at only 16 still has significant physical development before he is ready for first team football. Nathan Ake though is showing that, from a physicality standpoint, he is equipped to handle everything the Premiership can throw at him.
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Surprisingly Kurt Zouma and Tomas Kalas dominated the physical testing for the central defenders. As Terry’s advancing years catch up with him he isstruggling more and more with the physical aspects of the game.
Midfielders
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The outstanding Central Midfielder for physicality was John Obi Mikel. Ruben Loftus-Cheek though showed that he has the potential to match Mikel one day in terms of physicality.
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All wingers displayed a similar attribute curve giving credence to the belief that, should both Willian and Cuardrado be sold, there is enough talent in the squad to cover them.
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Strikers
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Drogba and Remy represent the standouts physically for the Striking group. Both Brown and Solanke share similar physical attributes.
6.0 – Season to Date Performance Summary
Players have been awarded a rating based on the coaching staff’s game reviews and also Opta stat interrogation.
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The best two players of the season so far are Willian and Juan Cuadrado. With 3 and 2 goals respectively from our 3 league game so far they are a large part of the reason Chelsea is almost already off the foot of the table. There have also been good performances so far from 19 year old Lewis Baker, who has rated out at an average of 7.53 over the past 3 games,and Musonda (7). Terry (6.73) and Mikel (6.6) have been our poorest performers however neither of those rankings are low enough to be concerned with.
7.0 - What it Means Moving Forward
In the past 2 months the Chelsea wage bill has been reduced from £2.38m per week to now sit at £1.14m per week saving the club 4 million pounds monthly to contribute to repayments. Should the club be successful in selling Cech, Mikel, Cuadrado, Willian, Luis and Remy in the January window as desired the wage bill would drop even further to sit at approximately £615,000 saving another 2 million pounds a month.
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The intention of the management team between now and the opening of the January window is to obtain results sufficient to move Chelsea out of the relegation zone and far enough away from danger that the moves referred to above can be made without jeopardising the team’s premier league future.
As players such as Victor Moses, Marco Van Ginkel, Mohammed Salah, Patrick Bamford, Thorgan Hazard and Kenneth Omeruo among others return from their season-long loan spells the decision can then be made in next summer’s transfer window to retain their services or move them on to assist with covering the loan debt.
8.0 - Summary
Chelsea Football Club have made a fine start to season 2014/15 given the tumultuous financial circumstances the club finds itself it. The club can be expected to continue it’s current form until the Christmas break where is it hoped that the club will have moved firmly away from the relegation zone and into a position of relative safety.
In January there is expected to be another round of sales that will again significantly weaken the strength of the playing group. This is going to be done to raise further funds to put towards loan repayments and also reduce the wage bill allowing again for more capital to be freed up. It is expected that following this round of sales the clubs on field performances will diminish although not to the point where the club is in any danger of relegation.
In May 2015 there are 25 players coming back from loan. At that point, should a new owner still not have been found for Chelsea. Bebgies Traynor will perform another squad review and attempt to obtain value for the players not required.
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9.0 – Disclaimers
Begbies-Traynor Group and staff operating with Begbies-Traynor Group make reasonable efforts to ensure an accurate understanding of client requirements. The information in this report is based on that understanding and Begbies-Traynor Group strives to be accurate in its advice.
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