Where do you guess these things from? The entire point of counter attacking is to counter an attack. It's in the name. Draw the opposition in, who over-commits, and the counter attack. Ask Mourinho. He does it with less than 50%. He's done it with less than 30%.
I don't guess anything. I play. You're interpreting football wrong. If you soak up pressure, and then kick the ball from defence panickly, you wont do anything else except getting attacked again.