And I've lost a match where the opposition scored 3 direct free kicks in a row. Isolated matches are irrelevant. (Almost) anything could of happen, and should. Think Martin Palermo, Morata missing 3 one on ones in January (realistically, he should have scored one, despite commentary going apeshit and saying he should have scored like 5) -- and all the crazy overreaction that comes from it. If you're one of those teams though that benefit from such regularly, you will have more point drops than someone who doesn't. This is all over FM's community -- at least where people are actually managing, rather than just downloading.
Some will always keep downloading though, as the overall results will just be better. The key is that they don't understand why their download works though, so every once in a while, as all AI prefer differemtn formations, and play a bit differently, they don't know what to change. Unless there will be a "cheat tactic" that allows players to field like 15 field players, there will be holes, always. It doesn't help that the perception of football of many FMers from years of watching MOTD doesn't go much beyond: "IF I dominate possession and shots, I must be getting it right." That's what all the worst "rage quitters" have in common. The other thing is that they want the game to be significantly less random than football is. In one-off matches, it's debatable, perhaps. Long-term, football is tons more random -- despite top class managers actually managing rather than downloading and hitting continue.