Yeah but Obama was never the stoner that I was.
Gordon Brown was the first to de-regulate. America and the rest of the world follow in order to compete. He also inflated the public sector during recession in order to create employment, but it's employment that isn't needed, that didn't generate anything, and was a burden on tax. If he'd concentrated his efforts on inspiring the private sector we wouldn't be in as big a mess right now.
I am thinking in terms of structure, the banker is a mere example of showing the rich at the top and the money working its way down.
Deregulation has been going on for a lot longer than Gordon Brown. In the case of the US, the deregulation that enabled the financial crisis stems back the the early Reagan era, most notably the 1980 Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act and the 1982 Garn–St. Germain Depository Institutions Act. There was also the Basel accords much later for the MBS stuff, and of course the Federal Reserve during the past two decades also played a big hand. Also, I think the system of floating exchange rates ultimately was going to bring us in this direction. Under such a system, you see a lot of short term growth and it's great for finance and globalization. But it also leads to glaring inequalities, ranging from trade balances to asset bubbles. The gold standard became obsolete, so did Bretton Woods, and now maybe the system we have now is heading to its grave. Of course the powers that be are doing everything they can to keep things from changing, at the expense of the taxpayer.
Anyway, the point is that the global economic crisis definitely is not just because of Gordon Brown, he's a microscopic piece of this. Also, I don't think he could have done anything to 'inspire' the private sector, as that ultimately depends on the conditions of the British and global economy. That's beside the point though.
As far as the banker goes, you're still not hearing hearing my argument. This banker exists and makes his money in places that have moved towards financial deregulation. This happened in the US and Britain as the middle class shrunk and industrial jobs moved overseas. Nothing he 'did' makes wealth trickle down nor is he any kind of example proving trickle-down economics, and a huge asset bubble generally benefits a few wealthy bankers to a great extent while lots of people lose jobs. In the case of America, he (indirectly) helps a lot of people get homes that they ultimately can't pay for. Now I'm not saying the move away from manufacturing and towards finance wasn't inevitable (it was because that's what was profitable in the short term), but they are only small signs of the inherent instability of capitalism. Industrial overproduction leads to financialization in some countries as they move away from manufacturing, but none of it is ultimately sustainable since it isn't based on real economic activity. And I've gotten way off topic already.
You assume that all workers do the bare minimum, but they can be given incentives to be more productive. The manager will be paid via shares in a company for example, so he/she is forced to be productively efficient as it's in their interest now. Labourers can be given performance related bonuses etc.
I didn't say all, I said many. Anyway, even under a purely socialist system, there are plenty of incentives to be more productive. The most obvious is working your way up the job ladder. Financial incentives can be given as well. Socialism doesn't have to mean that everyone earns the same, and that's ultimately up to your definition of socialism. Even if they do all earn the same base wage, financial incentives can be given on top of that for productivity. There's also punishment.
The NHS is state run and it's horribly bad compared to others like Germany. That's not a model. That's evidence.
I don't know much about the NHS, although I've heard from a lot of people that it isn't so bad and that the ones complaining about it are those who either think the grass is greener on the other side or have a lot of ideological bias against it. I won't comment on the NHS but America's health care system is as privatized as any in the 1st world's and it's absolutely awful. People in other countries have been polled on the satisfaction they have with their healthcare systems and they generally rate their systems much higher than Americans do. And there's more state involvement in theirs. America is one of the only advanced democracies where if you get sick or hurt and you're not rich, you're absolutely ******.
Overproduction probably will be its downfall, but country's are already reaching a productive capacity, but the hyper-consumption active in all the current rich country's demands more and more, and it'll be one of the age's great economic challenges to fix this problem. And there's not much else I can disagree with in this, I think you rambled a tad.
Glad we're on the same page then. Although the crisis of overproduction is worse than you might think, as the industrialized countries already operate much, much lower than their productive capacity, and in order to compete they simply must invest in plant equipment to increase productive capacity (efficiency), lower their wages, and deflate the value of their currencies. This began in the 1970's. The response in some of these countries was to financialize, which got us some short-term growth in the 90's and 00's, and a few wealthy people in finance made a **** ton of money, but unfortunately none of it was sustainable. I think the future is bleak, although hopefully it won't bring us to a 1929 style depression. If we're lucky, Japan over the past two decades will be our outcome.
My knowledge of economic history isn't great by any means, but as far as I know, the most socialist thing to come from WW2 was welfare states being established, which I agree with anyway. I don't know of any country after WW2 that succeeded with a truly planned economy.
The USSR succeeded with a truly planned economy, and my point was that the advanced democracies became welfare states. This period was characterized by very high growth rates, and for the first time in history, a relatively equitable distribution of wealth in these capitalist countries. Times were good, and my point is that this wasn't achieved through 'letting the market run wild,' it was done with a large state and Keynesian style economics. For the last 30 years though, Keynes has been demonized and everyone thinks that Friedmanite economics are the best thing since sliced bread. Hence many people believing the solution to every single economic problem is that the state just needs to get out of the way.
I know a load of Americans that think Obama is a huge socialist though. I have a friend who studies economics in Sweden and he strongly disagrees with it being proof of a socialist system working.
Yep, Obama is a commie for most Americans, although by Europe's standards he'd be considered a fairly ordinary politician. I also know people in Sweden that love their system and love living there. As I've said before, the Scandinavian countries score higher than anywhere in the world in terms of well-being and have the highest rates of political participation in the world. Even though it's really cold and dark all the time.
I'm pretty sure I said that it depends on a country's resources, and if you lack resources your system is irrelevant?
Well yeah, everything depends on a country's resources/geography/history/what have you. My point though was that we can't put poor countries out of the debate, they should be involved as well, since they make up the majority of the world. And to speak in broad terms again, capitalism is probably better for wealthy countries than socialism is, but socialism can very appealing to poor countries, moreso than capitalism. Also, no country has no resources, at the very least they have their labor (if that's all they have though, they're probably bound to be poor no matter what).
I would rather live in El Salvador than North Korea. How can the state take care of you, when they have no initial wealth to re-distribute around? Capitalism creates wealth, when there is business then employment is created, and a cycle of wealth creating more wealth is created.
I would certainly rather like in N. Korea than El Salvador, which is considered by many to be the most dangerous place on the planet. I would rather be in N. Korea than be one of the many in the world who is starving. If there is no 'initial wealth,' well, the country is in trouble, but over time, the state can develop the economy and provide people with the essentials of living. That's why when the USSR began and after the civil war and WWII when it had no wealth, it quickly grew into the world's second biggest super-power. As far as capitalism creating wealth, well it depends on the conditions, and often times, a heavy-handed state might be involved. The cycle doesn't always continue either. Anyway, socialists/communists don't believe that capitalism doesn't develop an economy, they simply believe that a different system will succeed it when it becomes obsolete.
And how do you propose we make El Salvador, Guatemala
I don't know enough about either country, but I'm sure it depends on factors unique to that country. That's why I don't think you can apply the one size fits all solution of "get rid of the state, cut taxes, and get rid of tariffs, and everything will be dandy" that you see most economists prescribe.
*most* free market orientated stated solution. I thought we established the state must play some part to provide merit goods and assist welfare? There's no model in a textbook that tells you to go for the most free market solution possible.
But most people seem to think these days that in every situation, the 'more free market oriented solution' is always the better one, and this includes econ textbooks and theorists. They markets inherently are the most effective and efficient method of allocating resources. That they are self-regulating and inherently stable. If you believe in this logic, as the discipline does, than you believe that the solution is almost always to simply get the state out of the way. That's why in econ class you learn that everything the state does is inherently inefficient, and that it always must let the market do its thing.
I have heard this so many times it's not even funny, whether it's economists claiming that Russia's failures over the past two decades stem from it not going far enough in its shock therapy or telling us that Argentina's crisis of '01 was caused by an inefficient and meddlesome state. Most Americans (and this group includes a lot of economists, sadly) think the economic crisis was caused by too much government intervention and regulation. They absolutely cannot fathom the concept that deregulation could have been a source of the problem (it doesn't matter how much logic or data you show them, they just can't believe it to be true). They ignore every move the state has made towards deregulation and market-oriented solutions in the past few decades and point to one instance of increased intervention and say that's what caused the crisis. And then of course there are the countless economists who simply assume that the crisis is a liquidity crisis that has nothing to do with structural issues. This includes the chairman of our federal reserve, who has taken on near dictatorial powers.
How can you class them, and specifically N.Korea as successful in any way?
Already went over this. When the Czar was overthrown in Russia in 1917 the country was an absolute mess. It had been devastated in the war and lost a lot of industry, not to mention the fact that it was a backwards agrarian backwater that barely had gotten rid of fuedalism (serfdom in Russia was abolished only a few decades before), so it was the absolute possible worse case scenario for a communist revolution. The country was then torn apart by Civil War in the 1920's, and Stalin's foolish ideas for the next few decades. World War II absolutely destroyed it once again, and Russia paid higher costs for that war than any country including Germany. But within 12 years they put something in space, and 4 years later, they put a human in space. In the 50's and 60's the standard of living in the Soviet Union was extremely high and much, much better than anything the country had ever seen. Unemployment was of course nonexistent as was crime, and everyone had the basic needs of survival met and then some. It was a better place to live than the developing world. There is a reason that the older Russians are reminiscent of even the Brezhnev years and that the Communist Party (which is not some new wave party, these people just want to rewind the clock back to the 70's and 80's) is Russia's second most popular political party behind Putin's United Russia. You don't have to like what the USSR stood for, but to describe it as a failure is simply bad history.
As far as Cuba goes, it certainly was a success if you compare it to its neighbors and to what Cuba was like before the revolution. Of course it went from being entirely dependent on the US to having a trade embargo put against it overnight, so things were difficult. But it has the second best health care and education systems in Latin America. Do they need to open up economically? Yes, and that reason has little to do with the inherent awesomeoness of capitalism but because its greatest resource will be tourism, something that requires economic liberalization. But would I prefer to live there as opposed to El Salvador or Honduras? Anyone would.
As far as North Korea goes, the populace's needs are generally met, and North Koreans are better off than a lot of poor countries in the world. There is a reason the government is still in power and that Kim Jung-Il is worshipped as a God. Things might change since many are upset about his son being thrust into the political scene, but this regime has the support of its people and will be around as long as Kim Jung-Il is around.
Most economic textbooks say the state should help create the foundations for private firms to flourish, rather than leave the markets be. And also that there needs to be government intervention when there are market failures. Of course resources are what creates growth, a capitalist system makes the most from them though.
'Creating the foundations for private firms to flourish' generally means for these people and books that the state should get out of the way in economic policy whenever possible. The state is supposed to suppress unions, social dissidence, and anything that could scare investor confidence and protect private property rights. That's what 'creating the foundations' generally means for these people. But it's not really supposed to intervene in the market at all for these people other than at a bare minimum for the safety reasons just listed. Look up the Washington Consensus on wikipedia, and that's the underlying logic to it.
Also, how does market failure occur? If markets efficiently and effectively allocate resources and are self-regulating and inherently stable (which is the foundation of neo-classical economics), how can you get a market failure? Economists have been telling us for three decades now that the state is evil and that privatization, deregulation, tariff-lowering, tax cuts, etc. is the solution to every problem. The state is inherently inefficient and needs to get out of the way is generally what we've heard everyday from these people for decades now. Because markets are perfect, any state intervention inherently keeps them from working at their best. So the most 'free-market oriented solution' possible is always the best one. All of the sudden there's a market failure, and now the state is supposed to step in and intervene. Now the state is necessary. Now markets don't work so well. This is such a blatant contradiction that it's amazing that all these economists can look at themselves in the mirror.
Most Republicans in America though don't buy this. They've been told and been telling others for decades that markets always work, and they're not about to change their ideology. This is why they oppose the bailouts and any state measures to regulate the economy or prime it with Keynesian-style spending. The state for them is to do nothing and the market will naturally recover. It's basically the same position the Republicans took during the Great Depression. I admire them for their consistency, and what they believe in makes more sense than the monetarists running around calling for more and more bailouts that only a couple of years ago were ******** about how big and inefficient and useless the state was and that we needed to let markets be less restrained if we wanted more economic growth.
As far as resources go, again its debatable whether or not capitalism 'makes the most of them,' and more importantly, the type of capitalism matters a lot. I don't buy into the notion that the most 'free-market oriented solution possible' is always the best one, and usually a heavy-handed and interventionist state is necessary for development. Also, as stated before, just because socialism/communism/whatever is less productive doesn't make it worse. 'Productivity' is certainly not the only thing in life that matters.
Moreover, capitalism is inherently terrible at using resources because without state planning and intervention it ruins and/or uses up these resources. This is why the Dominican Republic is better off than Haiti, and why many Caribbean nations were destroyed by capitalism and comparative advantage that incentivized the few wealthy on the islands to grow nothing but sugar and destroy the soil and thus, the economy, in the long-term. Ultimately there will be an ecological crisis on this planet since our sustainability is over 4 planets right now. I bet it will happen in my lifetime. Not sure what the outcome will be, but at the very least, it's going to require a big state with a lot of regulation and prudent planning rather than just "letting the market work its magic."
---------- Post added at 04:22 PM ---------- Previous post was at 04:15 PM ----------
Wow, what a great discussion. I came here to find some 4 - 2 - 3 - 1 tactics for Fm 2010 and saw this being discussed and had to have a look.
I haven't read the whole of the thread yet, but will look over it all. Page 3 seems to go on forever.
My main reason for typing here was to introduce some of you guys to the work of Milton Friedman. He was an economist from the Chicago school who championed small government.
He died in about 2006 I think but luckily there are many videos of his talks on youtube and other such places. I recently watched a 10 hour documentary series he made in which he put over his ideas and then debated them with groups of interested parties. It was so good that I watched it all in 2 evenings.
I'm not sure if I'm allowed to post youtube links, so I will, but if they are not allowed then please can the moderators delete them and accept my apology.
Here are some of his ideas, these videos are between about 5 and 10 minutes long and I advise everyone to have a look at them. I hope they will make everyone think. If you are iterested he appeared on a talk show, twice actually, and these videos are longer.
YouTube - Milton Friedman - The Free Lunch Myth
YouTube - Milton Friedman - Redistribution of Wealth
YouTube - Milton Friedman - Socialism is Force
YouTube - Milton Friedman - The Robin Hood Myth
There are plenty more of his videos on youtube. There is no point me posting them on here as those who have found him interesting will no doubt look them up for themselves. I will also be re-watching these.
PS if anyone does have a good 4-2-3-1 formation for FM 2010 I'd be very grateful
Wow, that was timely. Thanks for helping prove my point. As I keep repeating, we've had Friedman and his theories shoved down our throats for decades, and we're now realizing how wrong he was about so much. There's a reason University of Chicago had to change plans for naming a new building after him.
Friedman is just a dumbed down version of Hayek (if you want a good attack on socialism, read The Road to Serfdom, which is a million times better than anything Friedman ever wrote), and it's a **** good thing people have stopped taking him seriously after the crisis. Too bad our federal reserve chairman thinks his monetarist stuff is infallible.
Your post proved my point exactly, that even when 30 years of listening to this guy too much brought us to a financial crisis someone pops in and says "hey guys, why don't you check out Milton Friedman." Probably the worst moment of my day. No offense to you personally though.