Everybody know that when you flip a coin there's
50% probability to get "head" and
50% probability to get "tail".
It might happen that you flip a coin about
15 times and you get
15 "heads" in row! Yes, the probability of that is very small but it's possible so you might think that there's 100% probability to get "Head" when you flip a coin.
In order to get a more accurate information about the probability to get "Head" or "Tail" when you flip a coin you must to flip a coin about
300 times and only then you'll see that there's 50% probability to get “head” and 50% probability to get "tail".
If you use "brutal force" approach to test tactics then you need to
replay the match vs same team about 300 times.
If you test tactics during normal game play when you play
vs different teams and every match the conditions change then I would say you need to play about
2 000 matches in order to get more or less accurate statistic.
Heh... It's very naïve to think that it's possible to test any tactic just using "brutal force" approach playing about 10-20 matches and if such was possible we won't have thousand tactics posted every year because the best possible approach would be seen very clearly.
Mate, just think about it...