AVB is not even there yet, not only that Daniel Levy has been brilliant with keeping players thus far, if they keep Modric then they will not go for Moutinho and I would be very disappointed if Fergie has not noticed Moutinho before this Euro's, I doubt there is any real interest from us.
Modric will leave this summer i think that is something we do all know. He stated last year he wanted to come to Chelsea as he wanted to stay in London so that put City and Utd off but Spurs didn't let him leave. This summer i expect it to be the same sort of scenario, Chelsea trying to get Modric only this year Spurs will have to find a replacement so that may very well be Moutinho. Utd may miss out on both.