Hey tff can u give some insight on slumps which this years fm has more often.Also i noticed better results in fm touch than on normal fm with same team plzz correct me if i am wrong.
Hey mate,
In order to better explain my thought on “slumps that FM has” I’ll take analogy with a coin.
Everybody knows that if you toss a coin then your chance to get “a head” is 50% and your chance to get “a tail” is also 50%.
If you toss a coin 5 times then you might get these results:
1. “Tail”
2. “Tail”
3. “Tail”
4. “Head”
5. “Tail”
Result: 4xTails; 1xHead
Some person after seeing such results might say: “Hey… wait a minute… “A tail” has much higher probability to come up than “A head”… you are cheating!”
But if you toss the same coin for another 5 times then this time the result might look like this:
1. “Head”
2. “Head”
3. “Head”
4. “Tail”
5. “Head”
Result: 4xHeads; 1xTail
It's obvious that if you separately look at the 1st test’s results and the 2nd test’s results then you get wrong impression about chances to get “a tail” or “a head” when you toss a coin and the only way to get right impression about chances to get “a tail” or “a head” is to toss a coin about 100-200 times and see the result.
“Tossing a coin” is extremely simple system and even with such simple system you need to repeat testing at least 100-200 times in order to get a proper view on the chances of getting a tail/a head and now look at FM, it’s 1000 times more complex that “tossing a coin” system so can you imagine how many times/matches should be played to find out of probability of something in FM...
When someone person complains that he always has “slump” during every season then it means that this person thinks that he should win 100%(or don’t lose any) of matches in the season but what makes him think that he should win of 100% in the season? I don’t say that something like that isn’t possible… Yes, it’s possible but only when your team is much stronger than all your opponents during the season, for example, if your team is 180-190CA and all your opponents are 110-120CA then only in this case, probably, you can expect to win 100% of matches during the season but how many people play in such conditions..? I’d say no one plays in such conditions usually people that complains about “slumps” play with a team that isn’t even the strongest team in the league but something makes them think that they must win 100% of matches and “that something” what makes them think like that is few good results that they got in few previous matches but if you look at the example with “tossing a coin” then you understand how ridiculous to build your expectations that are based just on few good results that you got in the previous matches.
In FM if you won 10 or 20 previous matches even then you can't expect to win the next 10-20 matches because 10 or 20 matches in FM is like a drop in ocean but many FM players don't understand that and they build their expectations that are based on the result that they got in the previous 10-20 match which is very wrong.
Also i noticed better results in fm touch than on normal fm with same team plzz correct me if i am wrong.
Mate, probably, it's just random and there should not be such difference between these modes because both modes have the same ME but I must add that FM Touch is easier to play which means there are less area when you can do “wrong”, for example, there are no Tactical Familiarity, Team Talks, In Game Shouts and also simplified training and interaction with players so it might the reason why some people get better result in FM Touch.