Altough I truly respect your hard work and time invested in this project, I'm starting to doubt the reliability of your testing. Even if you get consistent results if repeating the test with the same tactic over and over again, I think the question is that when playing it doesn't work out the same way, can't really understand why. It's true I got great results with some of the top tactics, mainly with Watford 343 v2, but started playing around with other tactics, and discovered date 442!
date 442! 2017_5FCAB3E9-6214-4702-A659-F272B21B4847.fmf (that I simply ignored until now), suggested in this thread
2 top tactics...., and is (for me) THE BEST tactic I've tried this year, no matter if you are the underdog or the top club. It works all around, with the benefit of the gameplay looking much more realistic than most weird shaped tactics. Honestly it's simply impossible that this tactic position in your table reflects it's real value.