So here is my problem:
There's no point keeping playing the game like this, having stuff like this happen every season. If the game isn't scripted (which I refuse to believe it is), it seems the match engine isn't exactly working well. What gives?
Favorite odds can get stupid, it happens when a good team is performing bad, like say Manchester United are not upto the mark, you'll be favorites to win an away game but away games are ridiculously tough, slightly more than they should be.
Counter attacking or even Attacking on rigid, direct football, more running with the ball works better in these games. Opposition tactics matter too. I used to think it was scripted but I never tried reloading the save. Once I got frustrated and tried it and I usually won the game after rectifying my tactics in second try, even though I always saved the "loss" and reloaded that save to avoid "cheating". Just retried those games to understand tactics and check if the game is scripted and it clearly is not.